Macro & Other Data
28 articles
US Labor Market Softens While Consumer Confidence Edges Up, Even as Iran War Drives Inflation Expectations Higher
The labor market showed early signs of cooling in February, with job openings declining and hiring slowing but consumer confidence edged up in March, accompanied by rising inflation expectations and growing recession fears.
Economist Warns Iran War Is Destabilizing Eurozone as Sentiment Worsens, Inflation Expectations Climb
The Euro weakened as business and consumer sentiment weakened and inflation expectations rose, as geopolitical tensions from the Middle East conflict increased uncertainty.
Iran War Dents German Business Sentiment Yet Euro Futures Stay Bid
German business sentiment fell as firms cited war-driven oil shocks, delaying recovery but the euro stayed resilient.
US Manufacturing Holds up in Face of Iran War Even as Business Activity Slows to 1-Year Low
The market received the mixed private sector activity readings positively but the war impact is beginning to show up on metrics such as prices, employment and export orders.
From Energy Shock to Economic Reset: Why Iran’s Strike on Ras Laffan Threatens Wide-Ranging Global Ripples Across Supply Chains, Markets and Consumers
Iran strikes cripple Qatar's Ras Laffan Industrial City, tightening LNG supply and lifting prices, stoking fears of cascading global economic and market risks.
Hot PPI Prints Ahead of Fed Decision: Will Wholesale Inflation Push the Dollar Futures Past Critical Breakout Level?
Surging wholesale inflation and a near-certain Fed pause converge, with 100.5 flagged as the decisive technical breakout level to watch for the dollar futures.
New York Manufacturing Activity Nearly Holds Up Despite Iran War, Input Prices in Check, Expectations Robust — Are Firms Ignoring the Oil Shock?
New York manufacturing stalled in March, even as manufacturers remained cautiously optimistic about investment and future business conditions ahead of the FOMC meeting.
More Evidence of Sticky Inflation Drops Even As Growth Disappoints — Stagflation Risk Looms?
Economic data signals stagflation risks as inflation stays sticky and growth softens, while resilient labor markets complicate the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook.
Stay Long on Dollar Into Weekend, Strategist Says, as US Currency Pushes to Multi-Month Highs: PCE Inflation Does Little To Rein In Rally
The dollar remains firm as safe-haven demand grew amid the Strait of Hormuz blockade and expectations the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged.
US Consumer Prices Stayed Benign in February — Why the Fed Still Won’t Cut Rates Next Week
February CPI met expectations and hit a five-year core low, but energy shocks and policy distortions may keep the Federal Reserve cautious on rate cuts.
February Inflation Print Drops Wednesday: Trading ES, NQ Futures Amid US-Iran Volatility
Stock futures rebound from oil shock as markets await February CPI data, which could influence Fed outlook and near-term market direction.
Japan Economy Is Growing Stronger Than Expected: What Yen Traders Should Watch as Analysts Predict a June Rate Hike
Japanese Q4 GDP was revised sharply higher, pushing yen futures higher from support as Bank of Japan hike bets build.
Americans Were Calm on Inflation Just Ahead of Iran War, shows NY Fed Survey: Now onto Fed Decision as Oil Shock Looms
U.S. February inflation expectations eased slightly, but oil price surge clouds outlook ahead of Fed meeting, keeping markets cautious.
China’s Inflation Hits 3-Year High as Oil Surge Looms, Setting Stage for Fresh Volatility in Commodity Futures
Metals outlook strengthens as producer prices firm up but yuan futures weaken amid uncertainty over China’s rate trajectory.
Shock Payroll Decline Clouds Labor Market Outlook, Tempering Expectations for a Fed Pause
U.S. payrolls unexpectedly fell in February, unemployment ticked up and wage growth stayed firm, confounding the policy path for the Fed.
Steady Jobless Claims, Falling Layoffs Signal Nascent Labor Recovery — Fed Rate-Cut Plans on Hold?
Labor market data hinted at a tentative recovery, with steady jobless claims, declining layoffs, modest hiring plans and productivity growth.
Dollar Futures Eye Non-farm Payrolls Report After Mixed ADP Jobs Data Signals Narrow Hiring Strength
Stronger February ADP jobs beat estimates, but revisions and narrow sector gains temper optimism ahead of the closely watched NFP report.
Eurozone Services PMI Edges Higher, but Growth Remains Fragile; Buy Euro FX Futures Cautiously with Tight Stops
Eurozone PMI signaled modest expansion in February, with services momentum improving but overall growth still below long-run average.
Will US-Iran War Throw A Wrench into ECB’s Easing Plan? Preliminary February CPI Print Shows Inflation Reaccelerating Ahead of Key Policy Meeting
Eurozone inflation unexpectedly accelerated in February, raising ECB policy risks as Middle East tensions threaten renewed energy-driven price pressures.
Futures Traders Latch onto Bullish Manufacturing Activity Signals but Price Surge Flashes Warning Signal
Manufacturing growth held up in February as production and new orders remained firm, according to two separate surveys released Monday.
US Producer Price Inflation Comes in Hotter Than Expected, but Bond, Dollar Futures Shrug Off Hawkish Signal
Producer price inflation accelerated in January, driven largely by firm service inflation, underscoring persistent underlying pricing pressures.
Cooling Inflation Likely to Keep BoJ Cautious, Yen Futures Seen Range-Bound Ahead of Spring Data
Tokyo core inflation eased below the BoJ target, complicating the policy outlook, while economists are wary about the pricing pressure in the services sector.
Cooling Eurozone Inflation Bolsters ECB Cut Bets — Sell 6E Strength While Range Resistance Holds
Eurozone inflation cooled to multi-month lows as energy dragged prices, reinforcing expectations of near-term ECB easing.
Consumer Confidence Rebound Signals Tactical Long Opportunities in ES Futures, Dollar Strength Bias Remains
US consumer confidence rose modestly in February, reflecting improved expectations, though overall sentiment remains below recent highs.
Euro FX Futures at Inflection Point as German Data Signals Upswing — Watch This Key Make-or-Break Level
Germany’s business sentiment hit six-month high, signaling cyclical upswing, though tariffs, stronger euro and weather pose risks.
US Growth Falters but Sticky Inflation Keeps Rate Pause in Play; Dollar and Treasury Futures React to SCOTUS Tariff Ruling
Weaker-than-expected growth alongside persistent inflation complicates the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook, reinforcing a cautious stance and keeping markets on edge.
Eurozone Manufacturing Rebound Lifts Growth Outlook, but Sticky Inflation Clouds ECB Easing — Is It Time to Buy Euro Futures?
Eurozone manufacturing rebounds sharply while persistent pricing pressures may keep the ECB cautious on rate cuts steady outlook.
Goldilocks Data Keeps Rate-Cut Bets Alive; Sell DXY Rallies, Buy Treasury Dips as 2026 Easing Looms?
Traders factored in a higher-for-longer” interest rate environment even as a trio of economic data relayed a mixed message.
